Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Heads up!

By Capt. Fogg

The popular press has been teasing us since the 1940's about cars that will convert to airplanes in a few minutes and allow us to fly over the traffic to work. Somehow the Gee Whiz journalists never seemed to factor into the equation the basic inability of the average person to master the piloting of an automobile even after decades of experience or to visualize the air above our head filled with drunks, text messaging teens, cell phone yakking soccer moms and winged versions of all the road vermin that infest our highways.

They're still at it, in fact. The NASA-funded first annual PAV challenge just wrapped up in Santa Rosa this weekend. PAV or Personal Air Vehicle is a pointless and euphemistic coinage that sounds like it was minted by the same industry bullslingers who gave us SUV, but that's only a small clue as to the silliness of this entire enterprise. According to ZDNet,

"with the right technology, small auto-piloted planes could one day alleviate traffic gridlock by shuttling people around on midrange trips (jaunts of between 100 and 500 miles) with much more speed, economy and efficiency than a car. "Planes for plain folk" is one motto."

God help us all is my version. The idea of producing an intelligent airplane in which Gerry and Mrs. Atricks or their backwards-hatted hardware-faced grandchildren can safely travel a few hundred miles at 150 MPH may appeal to technophiles, but those of us who daily witness the full spectrum of human idiocy on our roads might just prefer to stay in a bunker if this idea takes off. No technology can overcome the massed powers of stupidity, ineptitude, inability to focus or to judge speed and distance.

The dreamers envision an airplane - excuse me, a PAV - so advanced that it can, along with thousands of other PAV's, be trusted to behave like a flock of migratory birds with scant human intervention; miraculously arriving at some pre-programmed destination in all kinds of weather. I can't help but envision a hailstorm of hot metal and burning plastic raining down on our heads along with the cigarette butts and beer cans and McDonald's packaging one finds on every roadside.

Besides, the American public will not buy two seat, sporty vehicles and the manufacturers will quite soon be turning out versions of military heavy transport planes (SUAVs?) so that every wimp, twit and one-eyed psycho can feel powerful flying to work with all 4 engines roaring and 14 Kilowatt "sound system" booming. Spinning hubcaps sold separately.

(Cross-posted at Human Voices.)

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2 Comments:

  • There isn't much to worry about. PAVs are such a disruptive technology that it's difficult to see them ever being permitted to take hold in the US.

    The airlines will oppose the competition.

    The FAA will oppose putting even more stress on an air traffic control infrastructure that's already bursting at the seams.

    Law enforcement will oppose anything that will cut down on traffic ticket revenues.

    The DHS will veto the mass availability of anything that even remotely resembles a cruise missile.

    If the technology ever advances to the point that PAVs become practical and economic, expect to see them regulated out of existence.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6:21 PM  

  • Private aviation is already becoming inaccessible and for many of the reasons you give. I see no future for this at all.

    What puzzles me most though is why we need to call a private plane a PAV. It's redundant at best and at worst another example of the commercialized destruction of English.

    What's next - FLETS? (Four Legged Equine Transportation System) instead of horse?

    By Blogger Capt. Fogg, at 10:53 PM  

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